Saturday, 27 October 2012 00:18

Final Electoral College Election Prediction

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Notes:

        I seize Florida, Virginia, Ohio, Nevada, NH, Arizona, for Obama and concede North Carolina and Indiana to Romney.

        I am sticking to my 55/41 prediction on the popular vote for the following reasons:

Obama’s wins in large population states like California, NY, MA, Pennsylvania is such that it cannot be made up with wins in the small population states such as South Dakota and Wyoming. 

Romney’s wins in the South such as N & S Carolina, Texas, etc would be considerably reduced by the large minority populations in those states where minorities make up as much as 20% of the state population. 

Save this for Nov. 7/8, when the full results would be on display and compare. This is the only place where you will find Arizona in Obama column. We are talking about McCain and Barry Goldwater country. 

My forecasts show a land slide in both the popular votes and in the Electoral College. 

When this happens would you object to my being named to head a major polling outfit?

 

Benjamin Obiajulu Aduba

Boston, Massachusetts,

October 26, 2012

 

STATE          Votes                     Obama Romney                   Total

Alabama        9                                              9                           9

Alaska           3                                              3                           3

Arizona          11                          11                                             11

Arkansas        6                                              6                           6

California      55                          55                                                        55

Colorado         9                           9                                              9

Connecticut     7                           7                                              7

Delaware        3                           3                                              3

District of C     3                           3                                              3

Florida           29                        29                                                        29

Georgia           16                                             16                          16

Hawaii             4                           4                                              4

Idaho              4                                              4                           4

Illinois              20                          20                                             20

Indiana          11                                                        11                                11

Iowa               6                           6                                              6

Kansas             6                                                 6                           6

Kentucky         8                                                 8                           8

Louisiana          8                                                 8                           8

Maine             4                            4                                                          4

Maryland          10                          10                                             10

Massachusetts  11                          11                                             11

Michigan          16                          16                                             16

Minnesota        10                          10                                             10

Mississippi      6                                             6                                                          6

Missouri            10                                             10                          10

Montana           3                                              3                           3

Nebraska           5                                              5                           5

Nevada             6                            6                                              6

New Hamp       4                            4                                                          4

New Jersey        14                          14                                             14

New Mexico       5                           5                                              5

New York          29                          29                                             29

North Carolina    15                                               15                          15

North Dakota  3                                                          3                                  3

Ohio                 18                          18                                             18

Oklahoma          7                                                    7                           7

Oregon             7                           7                                              7

Pennsylvania      20                          20                                             20

Rhode Island   4                            4                                                          4

South Carolina    9                                                       9                           9

South Dakota     3                                                       3                           3

Tennessee         11                                                    11                          11

Texas                38                                                   38                          38

Utah                 6                                                          6                                  6

Vermont            3                           3                                              3

Virginia               13                          13                                             13

Washington        12                          12                                             12

West Virginia       5                                                        5                           5

Wisconsin          10                                10                                                        10

Wyoming            3                                                    3                           3

TOTAL           538                      343                                 195               538

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Benjamin Obiajulu Aduba

Benjamin Obiajulu Aduba  currently lives in Medfield, Massachusetts.